Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 105.869951 122.138021 141.481472 166.590707 198.963898 240.254086 2.985881e+02
2024-10-27 82.726220 101.779373 126.886622 163.757942 219.193093 304.731131 4.601416e+02
2024-11-03 74.251598 95.593341 125.903859 174.915951 258.880251 414.096376 7.872902e+02
2024-11-10 71.634937 96.185717 133.634239 200.381953 332.317224 637.074657 1.758240e+03
2024-11-17 64.636972 88.865793 127.371158 200.150469 357.927249 785.963499 3.113666e+03
2024-11-24 58.832500 82.387459 121.054625 197.721790 377.618638 945.142918 5.893753e+03
2024-12-01 53.804728 76.428639 114.522911 193.018782 389.860428 1102.503823 1.226749e+04
2024-12-08 50.182876 72.300016 110.502128 192.394393 412.863011 1349.892692 4.504540e+04
2024-12-15 47.285748 69.034798 107.517451 193.229041 441.113772 1700.552097 3.788297e+06
2024-12-22 43.794604 64.404195 101.359601 185.460723 439.029585 1881.423056 NaN
2024-12-29 42.518587 63.482315 102.140544 194.276507 499.115178 2799.082605 NaN
2025-01-05 39.821766 59.798930 97.035075 187.396202 497.835457 3162.892823 NaN
2025-01-12 38.164488 58.098528 96.219894 192.883777 558.202899 5135.006749 NaN
2025-01-19 35.839045 55.012260 92.258611 189.331937 579.809757 7188.644300 NaN
2025-01-26 35.116057 54.805343 94.289809 203.233519 705.932854 22231.072271 NaN
2025-02-02 35.513148 56.746270 101.324487 235.336665 1013.301045 NaN NaN
2025-02-09 33.881335 54.556038 98.624131 235.042555 1098.137257 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 32.264628 52.259447 95.378900 231.959320 1159.219312 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 30.654587 49.855594 91.602789 226.001851 1186.885331 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 29.438568 48.163418 89.362732 225.212215 1276.516867 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 28.408550 46.775563 87.709498 226.267824 1400.771325 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 26.981551 44.476417 83.556094 216.464170 1362.318177 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 26.547122 44.210889 84.496843 227.593364 1681.436519 NaN NaN